Core Concepts of DI
We will start with the basic concepts:
Growth Rates
All figs. are in Rs. 000s
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
Sales
|
300
|
350
|
380
|
Profit
|
100
|
150
|
160
|
Growth refers to the increase in the underlying value. In the above chart the growth in sales for the year 2001 to 2002 is Rs.30,000. The growth in sales over the years would be Rs.80,000.
Growth rate refers to the % increase, if not specifically mentioned the previous year is usually taken as the base, thus for 2002 growth rate will go by:
(380 - 350)/350 * 100% = 8.37%.
For a date range like 2000 - 2002 , the year 2000 will be taken as the base.
Annual Growth rate
- Simple Annual Growth Rate(SAGR) or Average Annual Growth Rate:
SAGR is the constant growth rate over a period of time, the formula comes from the theory of S.I. It is given by the formula: (F - I)/I * 100 * 1/n, where F is the final value, I is the initial value, and n is the time period.
[In S.I, F = I + I * r * n/100, here r becomes the SAGR]
- Compounded Annual Growth Rate(CAGR) or Annualised Growth Rate:
The formula comes from the theory of C.I. It is given by the formula:{(F/P)1/n-1}* 100, where F is the final value, I is the initial value, and n is the time period.
[In C.I, F = P(1 + r/100)n, here r becomes the CAGR]
Profit %
The profit % of the year 2000 in the above table is: 100/(300 - 100) * 100% = 50%. Remember that the profit % is calculated on Cost Price not on sales.
For the year 2001 profit % is 150/200 * 100% = 75%. Thus the % change in profit in the year 2001 over that of 2000 is 25/50 * 100 % = 50%. Thus the profit increased by 50 percentage points.
Profit Margin = Profit/S.P * 100%
Market Share: Value & Volume
Sales figures can be in either value(Rs.) or volume terms (no.s, kgs, etc.)
Company
|
Sales in Rs. Cr
|
Sales(in 000s)
|
Avg. Price/unit in Rs.
|
KKR
|
130
|
40
|
32500
|
RCB
|
150
|
30
|
50000
|
RR
|
240
|
30
|
80000
|
CSK
|
180
|
50
|
36000
|
Total
|
700
|
150
|
46666
|
Avg. price per PC for KKR is 130 * 107/40000 = 32500
Thus sales in value terms is = (sales in volume terms) * (price/unit)
Market share for any company is the % of the total market that the company accounts for, since the market itself can be specified in either value terms or volume terms hence the market share for any company can also be specified in both value and volume terms.
Here the market share of KKR will be 130/700 * 100% = 18.57% in value terms and 40/150 * 100% = 26.66% in volume terms.Since the total is 100%, hence the total market share after adding up each market share will be 100%.
Company
|
Mkt share of value
|
Mkt share of volume
|
Avg. Price/unit in Rs.
|
KKR
|
18.57%
|
26.66%
|
32500
|
RCB
|
21.42%
|
20%
|
50000
|
RR
|
34.28%
|
20%
|
80000
|
CSK
|
25.71%
|
33.33%
|
36000
|
Total
|
100%
|
100%
|
46666
|
An important thing to note is that companies which have Avg Price/unit greater than market average( like RCB, CSK) will have greater market share in value terms than in volume terms and viceversa. This is obvious as the company which earns more money by selling less products must be doing so because it is selling the products at a greater price.
sales of KKRvalue total salesvalue * market share of KKRvalue
------------------------------------------ = ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
sales of KKRvolume total salesvolume * market share of KKRvolume
=> price/unit of KKR = price/unit of Market * market share of KKRvalue/market share of KKRvolume
=> (price/unit of KKR) / (price/unit of Market) = market share of KKRvalue/market share of KKRvolume
Revenue is the total money received by the company after selling its products/services. Profit is just the money remaining after (revenue - cost)
Break Even Point(BEP) is the production level at which the company is in a no-profit, no-loss situation:
BEP = (Fixed Cost)/ (Sales Price - Variable Cost/unit)
Source:
- CL materials
- Erudite materials
Comments
Post a Comment